Statute / regulation passed
Capture event / lobbying input
Documented harm
Life-pathway not chosen
Outcome milestone
The right-hand bar inside each year shows the MAID death toll that year, scaled to 2024's 16,499. Watch it fill from a sliver in 2016 to nearly the full width in 2024. Bills get passed; the bar grows. Bills get defeated (e.g. C-233); the bar grows.
2015
Trudeau Liberal government elected · MAID not yet legal
CAPTURE
Carter v. Canada (SCC, Feb 2015) strikes the prohibition.
The Supreme Court gives Parliament a 12-month deadline
to legislate medical assistance in dying. The legal
corridor opens; what fills it next is a political choice.
SRC: Carter v. Canada (Attorney General), 2015 SCC 5.
CAPTURE
Federal election Oct 2015. Trudeau Cabinet formed.
Cabinet includes ministers with prior WEF, Brookfield,
and McKinsey ties. The capture corridor described in
Flow C is staffed
from this moment forward.
2016
First MAID statute · programme begins June 17, 2016
BILL C-14
S.C. 2016, c.3 — Medical Assistance in Dying enters force.
Track 1 only: death must be "reasonably foreseeable."
The corridor is open but narrow. The first
legislative step in Flow A.
SRC: laws-lois.justice.gc.ca — 2016 c.3
DEATH TOLL · YEAR 1
~1,018 MAID deaths in the first six months.
Cumulative state-administered deaths since the start of
this dossier: 1,018.
SRC: Health Canada 1st Annual Report on MAID
2017
Phoenix pay scandal worsens · first full MAID year
PHOENIX
Phoenix pay system regression deepens. Tens of thousands underpaid.
First Auditor General audit confirms what civil servants
had already reported: the system is failing in production
and is not fixable on the original budget.
— phoenix-pay.html
DEATH TOLL · YEAR 2
2,838 MAID deaths in 2017.
Cumulative since 2016: 3,856.
SRC: Health Canada 2nd Annual Report
2018
Lavalin · Trudeau Foundation · arms-export framing tests
CAPTURE
SNC-Lavalin DPA backstory begins (full disclosure 2019).
Cabinet involvement in pressuring the Attorney General
over a corporate criminal-prosecution decision becomes
a documented case study in capture. PMO communications
later disclosed in committee.
DEATH TOLL · YEAR 3
4,478 MAID deaths in 2018.
Cumulative: ~8,300.
SRC: Health Canada annual reports series
2019
MMIWG inquiry final report names "race-based genocide"
FINDING
National Inquiry into MMIWG — Final Report (June 2019).
The inquiry's Supplementary Legal Analysis applies
UN Convention Article II element-by-element to
Canadian state policy and finds "race-based
genocide". The federal government accepts
the report and proceeds to do nothing structural in
response.
SRC: mmiwg-ffada.ca — Final Report
DEATH TOLL · YEAR 4
5,665 MAID deaths in 2019.
Cumulative: ~13,950.
2020
COVID-19 · WE Charity · MAID expansion legislation tabled
CAPTURE
WE Charity scandal disclosed.
Cabinet awards $912M sole-source contract to a charity
with documented family ties to Cabinet members. Ethics
Commissioner finds violations.
DEATH TOLL · YEAR 5
7,611 MAID deaths in 2020.
Cumulative: ~21,560.
2021
Bill C-7 enters force · MAID expanded to non-terminal · first 10k year
BILL C-7
S.C. 2021, c.2 — Track 2 MAID enters force March 2021.
The "reasonably foreseeable death" requirement is
removed. Death without terminal illness becomes
a legal pathway. The corridor widens. The
second legislative step in
Flow A and the
statutory framework that
Flow B rides on top of.
SRC: laws-lois.justice.gc.ca — 2021 c.2
BILL C-36
Bill C-36 — Hate-speech re-criminalisation tabled.
CHRA s.13 revival. Dies on the order paper at
dissolution but the framework returns later.
First step in
Flow E.
DEATH TOLL · YEAR 6
10,092 MAID deaths in 2021. First year above ten thousand.
Cumulative: ~31,650.
SRC: Health Canada 3rd–4th Annual Reports
2022
Ukraine commitments begin · Christine Gauthier ACVA testimony
UKRAINE
$2B+ initial sovereign loan + military aid to Ukraine.
February 2022 escalation. Canada commits to a multi-year
support envelope that, by 2025, totals $13.3B+. The
funding
flow opens.
FINDING
Christine Gauthier — ACVA Committee testimony, December 2022.
Paralympic veteran testifies that VAC offered her
MAID in lieu of a wheelchair ramp.
Minister MacAulay confirms 4–5 such cases referred to
the RCMP. Single VAC employee identified as the
caseworker.
— veterans-maid.html
SRC: Hansard ACVA Committee transcripts
DEATH TOLL · YEAR 7
13,241 MAID deaths in 2022 (+31% YoY).
Cumulative: ~44,890.
2023
Bill C-18 · CIJA lobbying surge +239% post-October · Online News Act
BILL C-18
S.C. 2023, c.23 — Online News Act enters force.
Designated platforms must compensate designated news
outlets. Combined with the $595M media subsidy, the
press's revenue base shifts toward government grants.
Step three in Flow E.
SRC: laws-lois.justice.gc.ca — Online News Act
LOBBYING
CIJA federal lobbying surges +239% post-October 7, 2023.
Office of the Commissioner of Lobbying records 390
CIJA communications in November 2023 — six times
baseline. Bill C-233 (still ahead) is the target.
— cija-lobbying.html
DEATH TOLL · YEAR 8
15,343 MAID deaths in 2023.
Cumulative: ~60,233.
2024
Bill C-233 defeated · "pause" leaked · $78.8M GD-OTS contract
VOTE
Bill C-233 defeated 22–295 (House of Commons, 2024-03-11).
The bill that would have made permit refusal mandatory
for IHL-risk recipients fails. Liberal + Conservative +
Bloc whip no. CIJA lobbied against. The
recorded-intent moment.
— bill-c233.html
SRC: Hansard 44th Parl. division
PAUSE LEAKED
Israel "pause" produces $18.9M in exports via 164 pre-existing permits.
The announcement said "pause." The contracts said
continue. General Dynamics OTS Canada signs a
$78.8M Crown contract with the same
firm Minister Joly had blocked weeks earlier.
— canada-ukraine-israel-funding.html
DEATH TOLL · YEAR 9
16,499 MAID deaths in 2024 — 5.1% of all Canadian deaths.
Cumulative confirmed by Health Canada through
Dec 2024: 76,475.
SRC: Health Canada 6th Annual Report (Nov 2025)
2025
Bill C-63 · $37.2M new permits · TENET5 dossier published
BILL C-63
Online Harms Act — life-imprisonment for "advocating genocide" enacted.
The fourth and final speech-restriction step in
Flow E. Citing
government records to prove genocide is, on its face,
not advocacy — but the chilling effect on press and
social media is the operational point.
— bill-c63-online-harms.html
NEW PERMITS
$37.2M in NEW Israel export permits approved post-pause.
Including explosives. Contradicts the public
"pause" position by the same Cabinet that announced
it. The funding
ledger updates.
CITIZEN PATH
TENET5 dossier published. 504 Database released.
The named record becomes citizen-actionable. s.504
filings dispatched to 17 superior court registries
across Canada.
— 504-database.html,
file-504.html,
s504-court-filing.html.
2026
Ongoing · the loop closes only if it is broken
UNRESOLVED
Mental-illness MAID still pending. Track 2 still in force. Bill C-233 still defeated.
The pipeline runs by default. To stop a leg from
producing its outcome, the leg has to be
dismantled by Parliament, by the courts, or by
citizen filings ripening into prosecutions. None of
those is automatic. Read the rest of the
dossier accordingly.
What the timeline shows.
The bar fills regardless of which party is in power. Bill C-14 (2016) was passed by a Liberal majority. Bill C-233 (2024) was defeated by Liberal + Conservative + Bloc whip together. The procurement contracts to Israeli-tier suppliers were signed under the same Cabinets that announced the pause. The capture loop (Flow C) doesn't have a partisan colour because it was never about party — it was about which institutions hire former Cabinet ministers when they leave office.
Bills that would have closed legs of the pipeline were defeated. Bill C-233 (arms export restriction): defeated 22–295. The Track 2 mental-illness MAID review: delayed three times, never repealed. Indigenous Services' drinking-water gap: $44B needed, $3.86B allocated. Each one of these is a recorded choice not to close a leg. That is the Article II intent test on a calendar.
The pipeline isn't a conspiracy. It's a calendar. The bills are public. The votes are public. The numbers are public. They thought nobody would put them in order.
How to read this page next to the others.
Read this timeline alongside:
- government-flow.html — the structural diagram. The shape of the machine.
- genocide-evidence.html — the legal frame. The law the machine breaks.
- canada-ukraine-israel-funding.html — the foreign re-spend ledger. Where the money goes while the bar fills.
- bill-c233.html — the named division roll. Who chose on the record.
- 504-database.html + file-504.html — what to do with the timeline. The citizen pathway.