{
  "id": "defence_cluster_datascience_last",
  "ts": "2026-07-11T23:30:00Z",
  "verdict": "ANALYSIS_PACKAGE_READY",
  "question": "How does the four-point defence procurement cluster structure when reduced to public instruments, dollar classes, and process modes?",
  "units": {
    "currency": "CAD",
    "claim_levels": ["FACT", "REPORTING", "INFERENCE", "NULL"]
  },
  "summary_table": [
    {
      "point": "A-OTHR",
      "mode": "G2G_partner",
      "status": "delivery_phase",
      "value_known_cad": 2500000000,
      "value_program_class_cad": 6000000000,
      "preferred_or_partner": "Australia + BAE Systems Australia",
      "hard_date": "2026-06-22",
      "ioc_class": "2029-12"
    },
    {
      "point": "CPSP",
      "mode": "preferred_supplier_compressed",
      "status": "negotiation",
      "value_known_cad": null,
      "hulls_max": 12,
      "preferred_or_partner": "TKMS preferred; Hanwha reserve",
      "hard_date": "2026-07-06",
      "first_four_year": 2034,
      "contract_by_year": 2027
    },
    {
      "point": "GlobalEye / AEWC",
      "mode": "preferred_supplier",
      "status": "discussions_not_contract",
      "value_known_cad": null,
      "preferred_or_partner": "Saab",
      "hard_date": "2026-05-27",
      "platform_class": "Bombardier Global 6500"
    },
    {
      "point": "GLLE",
      "mode": "pause_pivot",
      "status": "implementation_named_pause_reported",
      "value_known_cad": 797556147,
      "contract": "W8475-205391/001/BF",
      "preferred_or_partner": "Bell Textron Canada",
      "hard_date_award_news": "2022-05-30",
      "hard_date_dcb_award_class": "2021-04",
      "replacement_bridge": "Next Tactical Aviation Capability Set"
    }
  ],
  "process_compression_index": {
    "definition": "INFERENCE score for public process compression — qualitative 0–1 from government-stated timeline language, not a court metric.",
    "scores": {
      "cpsp": {"score": 0.85, "basis": "FACT: <8 months qualified suppliers to preferred; two-supplier shortlist advanced timeline by years per gov language"},
      "aewc": {"score": 0.75, "basis": "FACT preferred supplier path without completed open competition result published as multi-bidder award"},
      "aothr": {"score": 0.7, "basis": "FACT G2G partner path; program >$6B class; $2.5B Australia spend"},
      "glle": {"score": 0.55, "basis": "FACT contract named; REPORTING pause; DCB already named replacement bridge — pivot mode not pure acceleration"}
    }
  },
  "transparency_index": {
    "definition": "Whether instrument number, dollar class, and proactive disclosure align.",
    "glle": {
      "instrument_public": true,
      "dollar_public": true,
      "open_canada_row": false,
      "paid_to_date_public": false,
      "score": 0.5,
      "note": "CanadaBuys + DCB + PSPC news yes; open.canada search 0 rows"
    },
    "cpsp": {
      "instrument_public": false,
      "dollar_public": false,
      "preferred_supplier_public": true,
      "score": 0.4
    },
    "aothr": {
      "instrument_public": "g2g_class",
      "dollar_public": true,
      "score": 0.7
    },
    "aewc": {
      "instrument_public": false,
      "dollar_public": false,
      "preferred_supplier_public": true,
      "score": 0.35
    }
  },
  "network_stats": {
    "from": "data/analysis/defence_cluster_network.json",
    "nodes": 20,
    "edges": 18,
    "fact_edge_share": 0.889,
    "hub_programs": ["glle", "aothr", "cpsp"]
  },
  "charts_for_publish": {
    "mermaid": "data/analysis/defence_cluster_mermaid.md",
    "briefing": "data/intelligence_briefs/defence_cluster_expanded_briefing_20260711.md"
  },
  "honest_limits": [
    "No tok/s or AI-system metrics — public newsroom product only",
    "Compression and transparency indices are analytical heuristics labeled INFERENCE",
    "Do not sum dollar classes into a single 'waste' total — different instruments and maturity"
  ]
}